Victor Chandler have installed Wigan's Roberto Martinez as favourite for the next Everton manager. Spokesperson for Chandler, Charlie McCann said he expected Everton Chairman Bill Kenwright to make his move in the next 48 hours now the football season is over.
Wigan's Chairman Dave Whelan won't stand in the way of his manager, so getting permission or trying to prise Martinez away from Wigan is never going to be an issue.
Chandler have Martinez at 9/4 favourite, it is no shock to see the Spaniard leading the betting, but I get the feeling that this is based on nothing other than speculation and the fact that Martinez gets linked with just about any vacancy outside of the top 4 or 5 sides these days.
Martinez is also favourite on the betting exchanges, currently trading at around 3.6 on Betfair. This suggests to me that no major move has been made, as the exchange betting markets generally tell the story when things start happening behind the scenes.
Another difference of opinion sees Chandler make Phil Neville second favourite at 5/1.Neville can be backed at 16/1 on Betfair, with Jurgen Klinsmann, Alan Stubbs, Neil Lennon, Malky MacKay and Vitor Pereira all at shorter odds. All in all it appears no one really knows what's going on here.
My own personal take on this, is I would be looking for better value than what Martinez is. This is the sort of right sized job for someone like Ole Gunnar Solskjaer or Michael Laudrup.
The downside to backing Solskjaer is that Kenwright might feel he is again potentially grooming Manchester United's next manager, something I think he would be keen to avoid.
While with Laudrup, although he has shown no desire to get away from Swansea, he surely looks a good fit for Goodison Park. He is available at around 30/1 on Betfair - I've had a couple of quid on him at those odds.
Both Victor Chandler and Betfair are currently offering £25.00 free bets for new customers. To open a Victor Chandler account and receive the £25.00 BetVictor Free Bet, please click here..... To open a Betfair account, please click here...
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Showing posts with label Betfair. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Betfair. Show all posts
Tuesday, 21 May 2013
Wednesday, 17 April 2013
Latest Relegation Betting
Working on the assumption that Reading and QPR are already relegated (according to the online bookmakers' odds), Wigan's defeat to Manchester City on Wednesday leaves them as 11/8 favourites with the bookies to join them and be the third team to go down this season.
Wigan are now three points behind Aston Villa, Stoke City and Sunderland, but they do have a game in hand on all three. Of the three, only Villa (-24) have a worse goal difference than Wigan (-21), Stoke are -13 and Sunderland -8.
This basically means that Stoke and Sunderland have a one point advantage over Wigan and Villa, as level points would see Stoke and Sunderland safe on goal difference.
The fact that Wigan need to win their game in hand just to achieve parity, and that they need to finish on more points than either Stoke and Sunderland, is probably what is making them favourites for the drop.
Villa's form has picked up a bit lately, but with a young inexperienced side I wouldn't be laying them to go down at odds of 4.4, as they currently are on Betfair.
Stoke City are another side not used to fighting a relegation battle. There is a perception that they are perhaps too good to go down, but I wouldn't be buying into that as they are on such a poor run, they are under serious pressure and as I already said, they are not experienced when it comes to relegation fights.
Norwich are another team who should be looking over their shoulders. For a good few weeks now I've got the impression that Chris Hughton has been trying to draw his way too safety.
Sunderland will be revived by their recent 3-0 win over Newcastle, but they are still in the thick of the relegation fight. I suppose they have a manager with a good fight in him if nothing else.
Latest Relegation Betting
Reading - 1/150
QPR- 1/50
Wigan - 11/8
Aston Villa - 3/1
Stoke City - 9/2
Sunderland - 13/2
Norwich City - 9/1
The 9/1 on Norwich looks like it could be value. As I have already said they have been in a negative mode now for a few weeks. If all of a sudden they find themselves in the bottom three and in need of a win, could they be relied upon to get it?
It all depends on Wigan though. They are currently four points behind the Canaries, so have a bit of work to do to put real pressure on Chris Hughton's men.
Wigan are now three points behind Aston Villa, Stoke City and Sunderland, but they do have a game in hand on all three. Of the three, only Villa (-24) have a worse goal difference than Wigan (-21), Stoke are -13 and Sunderland -8.
This basically means that Stoke and Sunderland have a one point advantage over Wigan and Villa, as level points would see Stoke and Sunderland safe on goal difference.
The fact that Wigan need to win their game in hand just to achieve parity, and that they need to finish on more points than either Stoke and Sunderland, is probably what is making them favourites for the drop.
Villa's form has picked up a bit lately, but with a young inexperienced side I wouldn't be laying them to go down at odds of 4.4, as they currently are on Betfair.
Stoke City are another side not used to fighting a relegation battle. There is a perception that they are perhaps too good to go down, but I wouldn't be buying into that as they are on such a poor run, they are under serious pressure and as I already said, they are not experienced when it comes to relegation fights.
Norwich are another team who should be looking over their shoulders. For a good few weeks now I've got the impression that Chris Hughton has been trying to draw his way too safety.
Sunderland will be revived by their recent 3-0 win over Newcastle, but they are still in the thick of the relegation fight. I suppose they have a manager with a good fight in him if nothing else.
Latest Relegation Betting
Reading - 1/150
QPR- 1/50
Wigan - 11/8
Aston Villa - 3/1
Stoke City - 9/2
Sunderland - 13/2
Norwich City - 9/1
The 9/1 on Norwich looks like it could be value. As I have already said they have been in a negative mode now for a few weeks. If all of a sudden they find themselves in the bottom three and in need of a win, could they be relied upon to get it?
It all depends on Wigan though. They are currently four points behind the Canaries, so have a bit of work to do to put real pressure on Chris Hughton's men.
Monday, 1 April 2013
More Next Manager Betting
Martin O'Neill's sacking as Sunderland boss seen another next manager market come up on Betfair, and it disappeared nearly as soon as it had appeared with the immediate appointment of Paolo Di Canio.
Even though I had heard it reported that Di Canio was in Sunderland for talks, I still thought he was worth a lay at odds of 1.17, as I believed there was still plenty that could potentially go wrong.
I seen it as a relatively cheap and minimal risk lay. First, how accurate was the rumour of him being in Sunderland? And even if he was in Sunderland, I still wasn't convinced they would give him the job.
Added to that, I won a few quid on the recent next Reading manager's market, so I had a few pounds to invest/lose.
I believed it to be a bonkers decision to sack a manager of Martin O'Neill's stature and experience at this time of the season, and then give the managers job to a premier league novice, with limited managerial experience full stop.
I thought maybe Sunderland had a more experienced manager in mind, and that they maybe wanted to speak to Di Canio just to sound him out, in case their first choice didn't materialise.
A couple of hours after placing my lay I noticed on Twitter that Di Canio had been given the job, so I quickly got on to Betfair and managed to back him for the job at 1.07, and get nearly half my money back.
I then watched the price crash to 1.01 in a matter of seconds afterwards.
Even though I lost on this trade, it was a low risk bet that I believe I had plenty more to gain from, than lose. Obviously it's always disappointing to lose, but I'm not going to dwell on this and wonder if I could have done things differently.
These next manager markets can be dangerous and can be volatile, but if you are careful and bet tactically, you can make money out of them.
As soon as a next manager market comes live, I lay all candidates at odds on as soon as possible and then just leave it. Usually I will get two matched.
Gus Poyet traded odds on for the recent Reading job, what happened there just goes to show how many obstacles there can be in the way before an appointment is finally made. That's why I didn't mind laying Di Canio.
This appointment has surprised me though, I know that in the world of football betting nothing should surprise me by now, but even I would never have believed Sunderland would trust Di Canio with keeping them in the Premier League.
It looks like a short term, panic decision to me. Someone at the club appears to have thought 'let's try and give the team a boost or a kick up the backside, and hope it has an immediate impact.'
They appear to be banking on the hope that to bring in a new manager now will give them a temporary lift, the new manager bounce effect, and get Sunderland the points they need to make them safe. In short, bring in another year's TV money.
It may well work, Di Canio might keep them up, but O'Neill might have kept them up as well, we will never know now.
Even though I had heard it reported that Di Canio was in Sunderland for talks, I still thought he was worth a lay at odds of 1.17, as I believed there was still plenty that could potentially go wrong.
I seen it as a relatively cheap and minimal risk lay. First, how accurate was the rumour of him being in Sunderland? And even if he was in Sunderland, I still wasn't convinced they would give him the job.
Added to that, I won a few quid on the recent next Reading manager's market, so I had a few pounds to invest/lose.
I believed it to be a bonkers decision to sack a manager of Martin O'Neill's stature and experience at this time of the season, and then give the managers job to a premier league novice, with limited managerial experience full stop.
I thought maybe Sunderland had a more experienced manager in mind, and that they maybe wanted to speak to Di Canio just to sound him out, in case their first choice didn't materialise.
A couple of hours after placing my lay I noticed on Twitter that Di Canio had been given the job, so I quickly got on to Betfair and managed to back him for the job at 1.07, and get nearly half my money back.
I then watched the price crash to 1.01 in a matter of seconds afterwards.
Even though I lost on this trade, it was a low risk bet that I believe I had plenty more to gain from, than lose. Obviously it's always disappointing to lose, but I'm not going to dwell on this and wonder if I could have done things differently.
These next manager markets can be dangerous and can be volatile, but if you are careful and bet tactically, you can make money out of them.
As soon as a next manager market comes live, I lay all candidates at odds on as soon as possible and then just leave it. Usually I will get two matched.
Gus Poyet traded odds on for the recent Reading job, what happened there just goes to show how many obstacles there can be in the way before an appointment is finally made. That's why I didn't mind laying Di Canio.
This appointment has surprised me though, I know that in the world of football betting nothing should surprise me by now, but even I would never have believed Sunderland would trust Di Canio with keeping them in the Premier League.
It looks like a short term, panic decision to me. Someone at the club appears to have thought 'let's try and give the team a boost or a kick up the backside, and hope it has an immediate impact.'
They appear to be banking on the hope that to bring in a new manager now will give them a temporary lift, the new manager bounce effect, and get Sunderland the points they need to make them safe. In short, bring in another year's TV money.
It may well work, Di Canio might keep them up, but O'Neill might have kept them up as well, we will never know now.
Sunday, 20 May 2012
Betfred Free Bet cashed in
Yesterday seen more profits as I cashed in Betfred's £50 Free Bet offer to earn another £43.53 for the kitty. This latest 'earner' takes the total amount of risk free money earned up to £341.18.
I placed my qualifying bet over a week ago on an Italian league match, then yesterday I decided that the Championship Play-Off final between West Ham and Blackpool represented a good opportunity to cash in the free bet - depending on how things went in the first half hour.
The reason why it depended on the first 30 minutes was because I expected goals, but didn't want any before Over 2.5 goals reached 2/1. Sure enough there was no early goals and I got my £50 matched on Over 2.5 goals just before Carlton Cole (I know, Carlton Cole scored!) opened the scoring towards the end of the 1st half.
I then waited until half time hoping for a quick West Ham second (they missed an absolute sitter) or an instant response from Blackpool, and when it didn't come, I layed Over 2.5 goals on Betfair as soon as the half time whistle went to ensure a tidy profit.
Much to my annoyance Blackpool equalised about 2 minutes into the 2nd half, but I imagine that if I didn't trade out at a certain point (ie half time) I would probably end up letting the bet run and potentially end up not winning anything.
Looking at this over the long term taking a guaranteed profit is probably going to serve me better, for this reason I'm not going to kick myself, even though I did expect goals in this game and the free bet would have won had I let it run.
I lost £54.16 laying the bet on Betfair and my qualifying bet also cost me £2.31, in total a loss of £56.47. Taking this amount away from my £100 free bet winnings from Betfred left me with a nice profit of £43.53, a return of 87p in the £1 (£43.53 return from £50 free bet).
In the long run I would be more than happy to get over 80p to the £1 on every free bet offer available, but given there was an element of risk used in the tactic of needing a goal (with my free bet) I know this is probably going to be a tall ask in the long run (at a minimum yesterday I would have layed the £2.31 at some point ensuring a scratch trade at least).
For any readers who want to cash in on these free bets, just remember when placing your bets you will always need to lay your bets with a betting exchange - Betdaq or Betfair.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
I placed my qualifying bet over a week ago on an Italian league match, then yesterday I decided that the Championship Play-Off final between West Ham and Blackpool represented a good opportunity to cash in the free bet - depending on how things went in the first half hour.
The reason why it depended on the first 30 minutes was because I expected goals, but didn't want any before Over 2.5 goals reached 2/1. Sure enough there was no early goals and I got my £50 matched on Over 2.5 goals just before Carlton Cole (I know, Carlton Cole scored!) opened the scoring towards the end of the 1st half.
I then waited until half time hoping for a quick West Ham second (they missed an absolute sitter) or an instant response from Blackpool, and when it didn't come, I layed Over 2.5 goals on Betfair as soon as the half time whistle went to ensure a tidy profit.
Much to my annoyance Blackpool equalised about 2 minutes into the 2nd half, but I imagine that if I didn't trade out at a certain point (ie half time) I would probably end up letting the bet run and potentially end up not winning anything.
Looking at this over the long term taking a guaranteed profit is probably going to serve me better, for this reason I'm not going to kick myself, even though I did expect goals in this game and the free bet would have won had I let it run.
I lost £54.16 laying the bet on Betfair and my qualifying bet also cost me £2.31, in total a loss of £56.47. Taking this amount away from my £100 free bet winnings from Betfred left me with a nice profit of £43.53, a return of 87p in the £1 (£43.53 return from £50 free bet).
In the long run I would be more than happy to get over 80p to the £1 on every free bet offer available, but given there was an element of risk used in the tactic of needing a goal (with my free bet) I know this is probably going to be a tall ask in the long run (at a minimum yesterday I would have layed the £2.31 at some point ensuring a scratch trade at least).
For any readers who want to cash in on these free bets, just remember when placing your bets you will always need to lay your bets with a betting exchange - Betdaq or Betfair.
BetdaqThere are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
Saturday, 11 February 2012
£25 Profit from Bet365 free bet offer
Monday night's £50 in-running free bet offer from Bet365 on the Liverpool V Tottenham game resulted in a nice, risk free £25 profit.
For my qualifying bet I backed Liverpool with Bet365 at Even money, to my surprise about 30 minutes before kick off they had come in to 1.94-195 on Betfair, which was basically an arb. As a result of this I was able to place my qualifying bet for free, as opposed to losing out on a quid or two as is usually the case.
For my free bet, things weren't as easy. I tried to place it at half time so that a goal or a red card couldn't completely ruin the process by turning the market on it's head, but it was easier said than done as absolutely no market had a price in which the odds on Betfair and Bet365 were comparable - they were all miles apart.
In the end I used my Bet365 free bet to back 0-0, for which I got 3.4 about 5 minutes into the 2nd half. I could only lay that at 3.85 on Betfair, which was a lot higher than I wanted it to be.
Put simply, the gap between the two prices was too large, and due to me flapping around as the 2nd half was under way I got my calculations slightly wrong. As a result of this I ended up with a larger profit on the Betfair (around £35) side of the trade, than the Bet365 (£25) side of things.
All this could have been avoided if I had acted quicker at half time and used the Bonus Bagging calculator which works out the amount you need to put on each side of the trade to come out with equal profit.
Which brings me nicely onto the issue of the Bonus Bagging service. Although I probably should have profited to the tune of £30, rather than £25, I still won. The £25 has almost on it's own paid the cost to join Bonus Bagging (£27).
I know I didn't need to be a member to know about this trade, but it does help that the service emails me when ever any of these sorts of offers are on. This on it's own can be priceless, and as I said, it has as good as paid for the service.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
For my qualifying bet I backed Liverpool with Bet365 at Even money, to my surprise about 30 minutes before kick off they had come in to 1.94-195 on Betfair, which was basically an arb. As a result of this I was able to place my qualifying bet for free, as opposed to losing out on a quid or two as is usually the case.
For my free bet, things weren't as easy. I tried to place it at half time so that a goal or a red card couldn't completely ruin the process by turning the market on it's head, but it was easier said than done as absolutely no market had a price in which the odds on Betfair and Bet365 were comparable - they were all miles apart.
In the end I used my Bet365 free bet to back 0-0, for which I got 3.4 about 5 minutes into the 2nd half. I could only lay that at 3.85 on Betfair, which was a lot higher than I wanted it to be.
Put simply, the gap between the two prices was too large, and due to me flapping around as the 2nd half was under way I got my calculations slightly wrong. As a result of this I ended up with a larger profit on the Betfair (around £35) side of the trade, than the Bet365 (£25) side of things.
All this could have been avoided if I had acted quicker at half time and used the Bonus Bagging calculator which works out the amount you need to put on each side of the trade to come out with equal profit.
Which brings me nicely onto the issue of the Bonus Bagging service. Although I probably should have profited to the tune of £30, rather than £25, I still won. The £25 has almost on it's own paid the cost to join Bonus Bagging (£27).
I know I didn't need to be a member to know about this trade, but it does help that the service emails me when ever any of these sorts of offers are on. This on it's own can be priceless, and as I said, it has as good as paid for the service.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
Tuesday, 1 January 2008
Bet365 Free Bet
To open a Bet365 account, please click here.....
The Bet365 free bet currently stands at a market leading £200.00. These days it is a straight forward first deposit sign up bonus up to a maximum of £200.00.
What this means is that Bet365 will give you the same amount of your first deposit, ie, if you deposit £30.00, they will give you £30.00, if you deposit £70.00, they will give you £70.00, and so on.
As the maximum amount is £200.00, we will want to be depositing £200.00 to get our hands on the full amount, this would then give us a bet365 betting bank of £400.00.
The terms and conditions of the Bet365 free bet state that the whole amount (£400.00 in our case) has to be rolled over three times before it can be withdrawn. While this is a pain in the backside, it isn't the worst case scenario.
All we need to do is keep matching the bets up on Betfair. So basically if we back Manchester United to win on Bet365, we lay Manchester United on Betfair. That way we don't lose any of our money.
In an ideal world, Manchester United wouldn't win, which would mean our money would end up in our Betfair account, and meaning we could withdraw it immediately, should we wish.
To cash out the full Bet365 free bet amount you would need to keep following the same process as above until you have either rolled over the £400.00 three times, or the money has transferred into your betting exchange/Betfair account.
This process is called mathced betting, and in my view it is the best way of making guaranteed money from the online bookmakers' free bets.
When placing free bets from Online Bookmakers always make sure you are fully aware of what you are doing and that you have read and understand the terms and conditions. It is the aim of this site to bet free, or as close to free as possible, using free bets is one easy method of achieving this.
Click here for more information or if you wish to open a Bet365 account.....
The Bet365 free bet currently stands at a market leading £200.00. These days it is a straight forward first deposit sign up bonus up to a maximum of £200.00.
What this means is that Bet365 will give you the same amount of your first deposit, ie, if you deposit £30.00, they will give you £30.00, if you deposit £70.00, they will give you £70.00, and so on.
As the maximum amount is £200.00, we will want to be depositing £200.00 to get our hands on the full amount, this would then give us a bet365 betting bank of £400.00.
The terms and conditions of the Bet365 free bet state that the whole amount (£400.00 in our case) has to be rolled over three times before it can be withdrawn. While this is a pain in the backside, it isn't the worst case scenario.
All we need to do is keep matching the bets up on Betfair. So basically if we back Manchester United to win on Bet365, we lay Manchester United on Betfair. That way we don't lose any of our money.
In an ideal world, Manchester United wouldn't win, which would mean our money would end up in our Betfair account, and meaning we could withdraw it immediately, should we wish.
To cash out the full Bet365 free bet amount you would need to keep following the same process as above until you have either rolled over the £400.00 three times, or the money has transferred into your betting exchange/Betfair account.
This process is called mathced betting, and in my view it is the best way of making guaranteed money from the online bookmakers' free bets.
When placing free bets from Online Bookmakers always make sure you are fully aware of what you are doing and that you have read and understand the terms and conditions. It is the aim of this site to bet free, or as close to free as possible, using free bets is one easy method of achieving this.
Click here for more information or if you wish to open a Bet365 account.....
Stan James Free Bet
The Stan James free bet is for £10.00 and is a free matched bet, which is ideal to use for matched betting (having a betting exchange account is needed for matched betting).
To qualify for the maximum £10.00 Stan James free bet, you need to open an account and place a qualifying bet (this will be your first bet) of £10.00 on an event at odds of 1.8 (4/5) or greater.
Once this bet has been completed, your free bet will be available in your account within 24 hours. Your free bet will be available to use for 30 days, after which it will become void. The Stan James free bet is only available to customers of the United Kingdom and Ireland.
When placing free bets from Online Bookmakers always make sure you are fully aware of what you are doing and that you have read and understand the terms and conditions. It is the aim of this site to bet free, or as close to free as possible, using free bets is one easy method of achieving this.
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