Interesting to see that Gus Poyet is now the odds on favourite to be the next Reading boss after the ridiculous (in my opinion) sacking of Brian McDermott.
I know that these markets are generally driven by rumours. Rumours sometime that are false, and rumours that are driven by insider information. The trick is trying to work out which is which.
I haven't a clue if this Poyet rumour is false or not, but looking at it in the cold light of day I wouldn't be touching this bet at odds on with a barge poll.
Here are some reasons why. Reading are likely to go down, Brighton have a slim chance of coming up, and the Chelsea managers job will be going in the summer.
The positive to jumping ship to Reading is he would be working with a club equipped for the Premier League. If/when Reading go down, he would probably expect to come back up with them next season.
And if Brighton don't get promoted this season. Who would represent the best chance of gaining promotion next season? Poyet would probably think Reading.
The negative is that there is a slim chance Reading and Brighton could swap leagues over the next few months.
Onto the Chelsea, job and while I don't see Poyet getting it, he must harbour hopes of landing it.
Would joining Reading now virtually rule him out of the Chelsea job running? Or would Poyet see it as an opportunity to do a good job at Reading for 3 months, possibly perform a miracle and keep them up, and in doing so he would impress Abramovich enough to maybe get the big job?
I can see reasons for Poyet staying at Brighton, and I can see reasons for him moving to Reading.
If this gamble on him is based on speculation and not insider knowledge, it could be a very risky bet. For me there is enough doubt in there to steer well clear of it.
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Wednesday, 20 March 2013
Monday, 18 February 2013
Next Premier League Manager To Be Sacked
As off today Roberto Mancini is still the favourite out of all the managers listed, but he is not the market favourite.
As the January transfer window has come and gone, the bookmakers seem to be off the opinion that owners and chairmen are less trigger happy, as we see 'No Manager To Leave' (this season, obviously) take over favouritism in this market.
No Manager To Leave is favourite at a best price of 5/2 with SkyBet and William Hill. That is followed by Roberto Mancini at 11/4 with SkyBet, whereas Hill's have the Italian as joint favourite with No Manager To Leave, with both priced up at 5/2.
After that it is the usual suspects with Sam Allardyce 8/1 and Rafa Benitez 9/1 (down in 4th place, wow), both prices are at a market best with Stan James.
With regard to Mancini, I think his odds reflect the fact that the bookmakers think he might be sacked in the summer. With the big name they will obviously be looking to bring in to replace him, probably still in a job until then.
Even so, if they crash out of the FA Cup and the gap at the top doesn't close, then when the season is over from a footballing perspective, Mancini could be very vulnerable.
As has been the case with this market all season, names have come and gone. I do expect it to calm down a bit now, although a panicking chairman down at the bottom could yet pull the trigger in a last ditch attempt to save his side from the drop. So watch this space.
All of the online bookmakers listed in this post have free bets available. These bets are down the right hand side of the website and can be used for making money by using the matched betting method, all of these free bets offer us the chance to try and bet free, or as close as possible.
As the January transfer window has come and gone, the bookmakers seem to be off the opinion that owners and chairmen are less trigger happy, as we see 'No Manager To Leave' (this season, obviously) take over favouritism in this market.
No Manager To Leave is favourite at a best price of 5/2 with SkyBet and William Hill. That is followed by Roberto Mancini at 11/4 with SkyBet, whereas Hill's have the Italian as joint favourite with No Manager To Leave, with both priced up at 5/2.
After that it is the usual suspects with Sam Allardyce 8/1 and Rafa Benitez 9/1 (down in 4th place, wow), both prices are at a market best with Stan James.
With regard to Mancini, I think his odds reflect the fact that the bookmakers think he might be sacked in the summer. With the big name they will obviously be looking to bring in to replace him, probably still in a job until then.
Even so, if they crash out of the FA Cup and the gap at the top doesn't close, then when the season is over from a footballing perspective, Mancini could be very vulnerable.
As has been the case with this market all season, names have come and gone. I do expect it to calm down a bit now, although a panicking chairman down at the bottom could yet pull the trigger in a last ditch attempt to save his side from the drop. So watch this space.
All of the online bookmakers listed in this post have free bets available. These bets are down the right hand side of the website and can be used for making money by using the matched betting method, all of these free bets offer us the chance to try and bet free, or as close as possible.
Saturday, 19 January 2013
Next Manager To Leave Betting
I don't think too many people outside of the loop seen the disgraceful sacking of Nigel Adkins coming, I certainly didn't.
Martin Jol was the big mover in the market, he was backed in from 20/1 to 3/1 (2nd Favourite behind Paul Lambert) at the start of the week. Adkins was around 6/1 at the time.
I get the feeling the Atkins' decision was taken a few weeks back, and the club's Executive Chairman, Nicola Cortese, was waiting for the right time during the transfer window to sack Adkins. He probably pencilled in just after the Chelsea match as he was probably expecting Southampton to get hammered at Stamford Bridge.
Not only does Cortese look stupid, he was probably the only Southampton fan (and I use the word fan loosely) who didn't enjoy the comeback at Stamford Bridge.
In the interests of balance, no matter how ruthless the decision looks.... he seemed too harshly sack Alan Pardew in the past, and look where the changes he made back then have taken Southampton too now, so maybe he deserves the benefit of the doubt? Only time will tell I suppose.
Anyway, back to the 'Next manager to leave his post betting,' and only two layers have a price up at the moment. Skybet go 2/1 Paul Lambert, 11/2 Martin Jol, 6/1 None.... while Ladbrokes can't separate Lambert and Jol, and have them both at 7/4, with Alan Pardew next at 9/1.
Ladbrokes currently have a £50.00 Free Bet, click here if you wish to claim it.
Skybet have a £10.00 Free Bet, click here if you wish to claim it.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed on this page to customers opening new accounts, these can be used to bet free with.
Martin Jol was the big mover in the market, he was backed in from 20/1 to 3/1 (2nd Favourite behind Paul Lambert) at the start of the week. Adkins was around 6/1 at the time.
I get the feeling the Atkins' decision was taken a few weeks back, and the club's Executive Chairman, Nicola Cortese, was waiting for the right time during the transfer window to sack Adkins. He probably pencilled in just after the Chelsea match as he was probably expecting Southampton to get hammered at Stamford Bridge.
Not only does Cortese look stupid, he was probably the only Southampton fan (and I use the word fan loosely) who didn't enjoy the comeback at Stamford Bridge.
In the interests of balance, no matter how ruthless the decision looks.... he seemed too harshly sack Alan Pardew in the past, and look where the changes he made back then have taken Southampton too now, so maybe he deserves the benefit of the doubt? Only time will tell I suppose.
Anyway, back to the 'Next manager to leave his post betting,' and only two layers have a price up at the moment. Skybet go 2/1 Paul Lambert, 11/2 Martin Jol, 6/1 None.... while Ladbrokes can't separate Lambert and Jol, and have them both at 7/4, with Alan Pardew next at 9/1.
Ladbrokes currently have a £50.00 Free Bet, click here if you wish to claim it.
Skybet have a £10.00 Free Bet, click here if you wish to claim it.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed on this page to customers opening new accounts, these can be used to bet free with.
Luis Suarez to score against Norwich again today?
Norwich seem to be the favourite Premier League team for Suarez to play against, he has back-to-back hat-tricks against them and looking around the betting sites today, it seems to be the tipsters banker selection for today's football fixtures.
He is a stand out 3/1 to score first with Coral and BetVictor, he is 9/4 and 5/2 with most other online bookmakers. To score any time he is 8/11 with Coral which seems a stand out price, as he is as short as 4/9 with other layers.
To score another hat-trick, Suarez is 16/1 with BetVictor, he is as short as 6/1 with other online bookmakers.
It would be fair to say there is a variety of different prices available for Suarez today. Don't forget, Coral have a great free bet offer of £50.00 available at the moment.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed on this page to customers opening new accounts, these can be used to bet free with.
He is a stand out 3/1 to score first with Coral and BetVictor, he is 9/4 and 5/2 with most other online bookmakers. To score any time he is 8/11 with Coral which seems a stand out price, as he is as short as 4/9 with other layers.
To score another hat-trick, Suarez is 16/1 with BetVictor, he is as short as 6/1 with other online bookmakers.
It would be fair to say there is a variety of different prices available for Suarez today. Don't forget, Coral have a great free bet offer of £50.00 available at the moment.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed on this page to customers opening new accounts, these can be used to bet free with.
Wednesday, 26 December 2012
Premier League Winner Odds Movement
Today saw another big move in the odds to win the Premier League as Manchester United extended their lead over Manchester City to 7 points with their last gasp win over Newcastle United at Old Trafford. And while they were doing that, Manchester City's title hopes faded again with defeat at Sunderland.
The best price with a small selection of online bookmakers for United is now 2/5 favourites, and City are 2nd favourites at around 4/1 now. The biggest mover of all seems to be Chelsea who are now available at between 6 and 8/1. While Arsenal are available at a token 80/1.
With the fact that United generally get stronger after Christmas, it's hard too see City catching them. But they still keep going behind in games, and I keep asking myself can they keep coming back and winning from losing positions? And at the moment, the answer is yes.
But the other factor in this, is that City don't look capable of putting a run together. In a way, United could be there for the taking if they keep conceding like they have been, but City look incapable of catching them.
So could Chelsea be dark horses? My immediate answer to that question would be no, but if they make a couple of decent January signings, then who knows.
Realistically though, they would surely need to go unbeaten for the rest of the season and would need to put an outstanding run of about 10 or 11 wins together, in their next 12 games to stand any chance.
It's a tall order, but stupider things have happened.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed on this website to customers opening new accounts, these can be used to bet free with.
The best price with a small selection of online bookmakers for United is now 2/5 favourites, and City are 2nd favourites at around 4/1 now. The biggest mover of all seems to be Chelsea who are now available at between 6 and 8/1. While Arsenal are available at a token 80/1.
With the fact that United generally get stronger after Christmas, it's hard too see City catching them. But they still keep going behind in games, and I keep asking myself can they keep coming back and winning from losing positions? And at the moment, the answer is yes.
But the other factor in this, is that City don't look capable of putting a run together. In a way, United could be there for the taking if they keep conceding like they have been, but City look incapable of catching them.
So could Chelsea be dark horses? My immediate answer to that question would be no, but if they make a couple of decent January signings, then who knows.
Realistically though, they would surely need to go unbeaten for the rest of the season and would need to put an outstanding run of about 10 or 11 wins together, in their next 12 games to stand any chance.
It's a tall order, but stupider things have happened.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed on this website to customers opening new accounts, these can be used to bet free with.
Sunday, 23 December 2012
Premier League relegation odds
Aston Villa's short lived revival came to a more than abrupt ending today with their (narrow) 8-0 defeat at Chelsea. They were on the back of a good run by their standards, but today's thrashing has seen them come back in to a best price of 9/2 to be relegated, with Ladbrokes.
There is a bit of a so called reverse 'Big 4' in the relegation stakes, with Reading, QPR, Southampton and Wigan cut adrift with the layers.
Reading are a best price of 1/7 and as short as 1/11 with some online bookmakers while QPR are 8/13. The bookmakers seem to think they are both already gone.
With Wigan and Southampton, the odds are a bit more competitive. Southampton are 3rd favourites at 5/6 with most online layers, and Wigan are a stand out price of 6/4 with BetVictor, and between Evens and 11/8 with most of the rest of the field.
Villa look to represent value at the moment. Despite their good run lately, I still think they are in danger as they have such a young inexperienced side. In my view they are only a long term injury for Christian Benteke away from being in serious relegation trouble.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
There is a bit of a so called reverse 'Big 4' in the relegation stakes, with Reading, QPR, Southampton and Wigan cut adrift with the layers.
Reading are a best price of 1/7 and as short as 1/11 with some online bookmakers while QPR are 8/13. The bookmakers seem to think they are both already gone.
With Wigan and Southampton, the odds are a bit more competitive. Southampton are 3rd favourites at 5/6 with most online layers, and Wigan are a stand out price of 6/4 with BetVictor, and between Evens and 11/8 with most of the rest of the field.
Villa look to represent value at the moment. Despite their good run lately, I still think they are in danger as they have such a young inexperienced side. In my view they are only a long term injury for Christian Benteke away from being in serious relegation trouble.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
Saturday, 22 December 2012
Next Manager to be sacked
Brian McDermott still finds himself as the favourite to be the next manager sacked in the premier league. He is 5/4 favourite with BetVictor and is 6/5 with Skybet. Martin O'Neill is second favourite and is out at 11/2 with some online bookmakers after Saturday's 1-0 win over Southampton.
Over the past few weeks this market has seen Nigel Adkins, Martin O'Neill and Brian McDermott all backed in to favourites, and all trade in to around the Even money mark, meaning another result for the online bookmakers.
Amazingly (for me anyway), Arsene Wenger was third favourite a couple of weeks back, he is now out to 16/1 on the back of three straight premier league victories.
Nigel Adkins is another manager to drift in the betting on the back of a decent run of results. He was favourite a few short weeks back, and he is now out at sixth favourite at 20/1, longer odds than both Wenger and Roberto Mancini, when only 3 to 4 weeks back, he was around Even money favourite.
Just goes to show the fickle nature of this particular market.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
Over the past few weeks this market has seen Nigel Adkins, Martin O'Neill and Brian McDermott all backed in to favourites, and all trade in to around the Even money mark, meaning another result for the online bookmakers.
Amazingly (for me anyway), Arsene Wenger was third favourite a couple of weeks back, he is now out to 16/1 on the back of three straight premier league victories.
Nigel Adkins is another manager to drift in the betting on the back of a decent run of results. He was favourite a few short weeks back, and he is now out at sixth favourite at 20/1, longer odds than both Wenger and Roberto Mancini, when only 3 to 4 weeks back, he was around Even money favourite.
Just goes to show the fickle nature of this particular market.
There are free bets available with all the bookmakers listed in the column on the right hand side of this website. These can be used to bet free with by customers opening new accounts.
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